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ECP Emerging Growth Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

9,335,484.00

decreased by 431,761.00

1 Week

9,551,364.50

decreased by 215,880.50

1 Month

7,941,699.82

decreased by 1,825,545.18

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 05:56 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ECP Emerging Growth Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 14, 2014 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0483
4.54***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9558
274.34***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0082
-0.59

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days