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ECP Emerging Growth Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026

1 Day

264,178,800.00

decreased by 2,426,700.00

1 Week

269,110,820.00

increased by 2,505,320.00

1 Month

241,607,872.73

decreased by 24,997,627.27

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 05:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ECP Emerging Growth Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 14, 2014 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0184
2.94***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9908
519.28***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0184
-2.79***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days