Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Destek Finans Faktoring A S Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 23rd, 2026

1 Day

28,360.80

increased by 23,125.60

1 Week

9,019.42

increased by 3,784.22

1 Month

2,638.30

decreased by 2,596.90

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 23, 2026 at 08:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Destek Finans Faktoring A S ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 6, 2025 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.7452
3.09***
αARCH0.7114
2.56**
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-19.5485
-0.57
γ217.1473
0.30
γ337.3499
0.69
γ4-89.7144
-1.28
γ598.8353
1.57
γ6-65.4358
-1.42
γ784.8581
1.37

0.711

Persistence

2d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.7452
3.09***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.7114
2.56**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-19.5485
-0.57
γ217.1473
0.30
γ337.3499
0.69
γ4-89.7144
-1.28
γ598.8353
1.57
γ6-65.4358
-1.42
γ784.8581
1.37

Persistence:

0.711

Half-life:

2 days