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Distilleries Co OF SRI Lanka Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 31st, 2026

1 Day

7,908.48

increased by 3,875.68

1 Week

5,272.59

increased by 1,239.79

1 Month

4,037.35

increased by 4.55

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 08:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Distilleries Co OF SRI Lanka ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 11, 1997 to Jul 28, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2063 trading days (~8.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0247
6.67***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1477
6.40***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8520
36.56***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.4693
-0.60
γ21.0837
1.07
γ3-1.7617
-2.40**
γ42.9014
3.66***
γ5-3.2044
-4.48***
γ61.1174
1.02
γ71.2950
0.80
γ8-0.8983
-0.69
γ9-1.0765
-1.27
γ102.3309
1.83*

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

2063 days