V-Lab
Distilleries Co OF SRI Lanka Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 31st, 2026
1 Day
7,908.48
increased by 3,875.68
1 Week
5,272.59
increased by 1,239.79
1 Month
4,037.35
increased by 4.55
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 08:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 11, 1997 to Jul 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2063 trading days (~8.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0247 | 6.67*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1477 | 6.40*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8520 | 36.56*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -0.4693 | -0.60 |
| γ2 | 1.0837 | 1.07 |
| γ3 | -1.7617 | -2.40** |
| γ4 | 2.9014 | 3.66*** |
| γ5 | -3.2044 | -4.48*** |
| γ6 | 1.1174 | 1.02 |
| γ7 | 1.2950 | 0.80 |
| γ8 | -0.8983 | -0.69 |
| γ9 | -1.0765 | -1.27 |
| γ10 | 2.3309 | 1.83* |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
2063 days
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