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Desco Infratech Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 28th, 2026

1 Day

4,918.69

increased by 842.37

1 Week

4,563.31

increased by 486.99

1 Month

4,859.14

increased by 782.82

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 07:22 PM UTC

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graph of Desco Infratech Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 2025 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 18 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0486
6.40***
αARCH0.2131
4.86***
βGARCH0.7495
13.31***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-1.2700
-1.45

0.963

Persistence

18d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0486
6.40***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2131
4.86***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7495
13.31***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-1.2700
-1.45

Persistence:

0.963

Half-life:

18 days