V-Lab
De Nora India Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
6,398.47
decreased by 946.13
1 Week
6,770.16
decreased by 574.44
1 Month
5,556.62
decreased by 1,787.98
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 4, 2011 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 99 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.993, shock half-life ~99 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 4.7868 | 4.56*** |
| αARCH | 0.2082 | 4.37*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7849 | 16.66*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=7
| γ1 | -3.7729 | -1.58 |
| γ2 | 8.0373 | 1.53 |
| γ3 | -5.5304 | -1.35 |
| γ4 | 0.7969 | 0.61 |
| γ5 | 0.3000 | 0.84 |
| γ6 | 0.6333 | 2.04** |
| γ7 | -0.4840 | -1.00 |
0.993
Persistence99d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 4.7868 | 4.56*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2082 | 4.37*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7849 | 16.66*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=7
| γ1 | -3.7729 | -1.58 |
| γ2 | 8.0373 | 1.53 |
| γ3 | -5.5304 | -1.35 |
| γ4 | 0.7969 | 0.61 |
| γ5 | 0.3000 | 0.84 |
| γ6 | 0.6333 | 2.04** |
| γ7 | -0.4840 | -1.00 |
Persistence:
0.993
Half-life:
99 days
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