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De Nora India Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

6,398.47

decreased by 946.13

1 Week

6,770.16

decreased by 574.44

1 Month

5,556.62

decreased by 1,787.98

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of De Nora India Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 4, 2011 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 99 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.993, shock half-life ~99 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst4.7868
4.56***
αARCH0.2082
4.37***
βGARCH0.7849
16.66***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-3.7729
-1.58
γ28.0373
1.53
γ3-5.5304
-1.35
γ40.7969
0.61
γ50.3000
0.84
γ60.6333
2.04**
γ7-0.4840
-1.00

0.993

Persistence

99d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.7868
4.56***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2082
4.37***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7849
16.66***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-3.7729
-1.58
γ28.0373
1.53
γ3-5.5304
-1.35
γ40.7969
0.61
γ50.3000
0.84
γ60.6333
2.04**
γ7-0.4840
-1.00

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

99 days