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The Dacca Dyeing Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026

1 Day

13,720.22

increased by 2,862.43

1 Week

9,432.05

decreased by 1,425.74

1 Month

5,144.46

decreased by 5,713.33

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 07:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of The Dacca Dyeing ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 28, 2009 to Aug 25, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 63013 trading days (~250.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5929
0.03
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3818
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6182
0.01
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-7.4923
0.00
γ28.3248
0.00
γ3-0.1009
0.00
γ44.5823
0.00
γ522.7760
0.01
γ6-65.6035
-0.01
γ753.6859
0.01
γ8-26.9669
-0.01
γ918.4852
0.01
γ10-12.1811
-0.01

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

63013 days