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Doubledragon Corporation Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

5,434.15

increased by 4,264.10

1 Week

2,075.46

increased by 905.41

1 Month

1,807.26

increased by 637.21

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Doubledragon Corporation ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 7, 2014 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1140 trading days (~4.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~1140 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1782
2.69***
αARCH0.1593
12.23***
βGARCH0.8401
64.08***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0073
-0.53

0.999

Persistence

1140d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1782
2.69***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1593
12.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8401
64.08***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0073
-0.53

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

1140 days