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V-Lab

Curis Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

170,831.20

decreased by 17,624.10

1 Week

200,826.58

increased by 12,371.28

1 Month

188,937.01

increased by 481.71

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Curis Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 1, 2000 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 411 trading days (~1.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3804
6.68***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1710
24.93***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8274
119.29***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0086
-2.69***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

411 days