V-Lab
Curis Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
170,831.20
decreased by 17,624.10
1 Week
200,826.58
increased by 12,371.28
1 Month
188,937.01
increased by 481.71
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 1, 2000 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 411 trading days (~1.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3804 | 6.68*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1710 | 24.93*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8274 | 119.29*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0086 | -2.69*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
411 days
Other Curis Inc Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Equities