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Curis Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

195,884.80

decreased by 23,270.20

1 Week

231,025.54

increased by 11,870.54

1 Month

232,786.66

increased by 13,631.66

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:07 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Curis Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 1, 2000 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 71% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.78
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1109
40.50***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8497
574.10***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0788
19.28***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days