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CoastalSouth Bancshares Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

3,835.15

decreased by 8.77

1 Week

3,836.58

decreased by 7.34

1 Month

3,817.08

decreased by 26.84

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of CoastalSouth Bancshares Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 2, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 96 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.6479
5.38***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9928
2.88***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ11.8129
0.06

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

96 days