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Cosco Capital Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

5,850.60

increased by 2,118.37

1 Week

4,892.64

increased by 1,160.41

1 Month

3,447.87

decreased by 284.36

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 01:14 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Cosco Capital Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 24, 1994 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 86 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

28.9945
4.42***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1412
8.21***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8508
53.59***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ10.9346
3.49***
γ2-1.2681
-3.39***
γ30.6626
3.05***
γ4-0.5661
-1.61
γ5-1.7765
-2.01**
γ66.0150
3.92***
γ7-6.2142
-4.66***
γ82.6749
4.59***
γ9-0.8907
-2.56**

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

86 days