V-Lab
Colruyt Group N.V Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 31st, 2026
1 Day
5,212.36
decreased by 185.59
1 Week
5,331.62
decreased by 66.33
1 Month
5,658.11
increased by 260.16
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 06:01 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 4, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1615 trading days (~6.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1693 | 6.49*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0579 | 10.14*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9417 | 176.71*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0001 | 0.02 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1615 days
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