V-Lab
Curro Holdings Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Inactive
Last recorded values (Wednesday, January 7th, 2026):
1 Day
1,694.68
1 Week
1,933.03
1 Month
1,506.56
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 04:06 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 2, 2011 to Jan 6, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 18 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 2.3375 | 3.22*** |
| αARCH | 0.1451 | 9.75*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8179 | 41.62*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | -0.0735 | -1.07 |
| γ2 | 0.3251 | 3.54*** |
| γ3 | -0.4312 | -7.45*** |
| γ4 | 0.2248 | 3.08*** |
0.963
Persistence18d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.3375 | 3.22*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1451 | 9.75*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8179 | 41.62*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | -0.0735 | -1.07 |
| γ2 | 0.3251 | 3.54*** |
| γ3 | -0.4312 | -7.45*** |
| γ4 | 0.2248 | 3.08*** |
Persistence:
0.963
Half-life:
18 days
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