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Compass Minerals International Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, September 24th, 2026

1 Day

1,770.61

increased by 236.25

1 Week

1,638.33

increased by 103.97

1 Month

1,978.18

increased by 443.82

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 23, 2026 at 09:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Compass Minerals International Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 12, 2003 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 98 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.993, shock half-life ~98 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.3716
5.91***
αARCH0.0834
13.37***
βGARCH0.9095
144.32***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0044
2.22**

0.993

Persistence

98d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3716
5.91***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0834
13.37***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9095
144.32***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0044
2.22**

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

98 days