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V-Lab

CIE Automotive SA Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

5,971.21

increased by 1,264.81

1 Week

4,710.40

increased by 4.00

1 Month

4,635.49

decreased by 70.91

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CIE Automotive SA ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 28, 1997 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 65 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.9989
2.81***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1079
11.33***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8815
65.21***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-0.1681
-2.91***
γ20.3164
4.01***
γ3-0.2794
-6.20***
γ40.2776
5.33***
γ5-0.2500
-4.50***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

65 days