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Crescent Capital BDC Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 21st, 2026

1 Day

5,958.08

decreased by 318.12

1 Week

5,112.15

decreased by 1,164.05

1 Month

4,517.98

decreased by 1,758.22

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/20/2024

to

10/20/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Crescent Capital BDC Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 3, 2020 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 95 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.993, shock half-life ~95 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9081
5.37***
αARCH0.1480
8.11***
βGARCH0.8448
47.55***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0437
-0.88

0.993

Persistence

95d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9081
5.37***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1480
8.11***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8448
47.55***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0437
-0.88

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

95 days