V-Lab
Inter Cars Sa Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026
1 Day
7,633.77
decreased by 290.59
1 Week
5,411.23
decreased by 2,513.13
1 Month
4,093.11
decreased by 3,831.25
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 08:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 1, 2004 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2193 trading days (~8.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8199 | 4.82*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1126 | 4.74*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8871 | 37.17*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -2.4954 | -4.05*** |
| γ2 | 3.3141 | 3.06*** |
| γ3 | -0.5224 | -0.71 |
| γ4 | -1.5353 | -2.89*** |
| γ5 | 2.1630 | 4.22*** |
| γ6 | -0.7586 | -1.44 |
| γ7 | -0.6853 | -1.15 |
| γ8 | 0.5973 | 1.36 |
| γ9 | 0.2532 | 0.71 |
| γ10 | -0.9878 | -1.93* |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
2193 days
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