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Inter Cars Sa Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026

1 Day

7,633.77

decreased by 290.59

1 Week

5,411.23

decreased by 2,513.13

1 Month

4,093.11

decreased by 3,831.25

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 08:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Inter Cars Sa ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 1, 2004 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2193 trading days (~8.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8199
4.82***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1126
4.74***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8871
37.17***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-2.4954
-4.05***
γ23.3141
3.06***
γ3-0.5224
-0.71
γ4-1.5353
-2.89***
γ52.1630
4.22***
γ6-0.7586
-1.44
γ7-0.6853
-1.15
γ80.5973
1.36
γ90.2532
0.71
γ10-0.9878
-1.93*

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

2193 days