V-Lab
Shatirah House Restaurant Co Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, August 2nd, 2026
1 Day
3,756.46
decreased by 1,023.25
1 Week
6,082.52
increased by 1,302.81
1 Month
5,073.17
increased by 293.46
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 08:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 24, 2021 to Jul 30, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 672 trading days (~2.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3376 | 2.33** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3060 | 11.81*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6930 | 26.79*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=6
| γ1 | 4.5384 | 0.81 |
| γ2 | -11.6039 | -1.61 |
| γ3 | 11.7143 | 3.18*** |
| γ4 | -17.0582 | -3.50*** |
| γ5 | 29.9491 | 5.10*** |
| γ6 | -27.2785 | -3.49*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
672 days
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