V-Lab
Shatirah House Restaurant Co Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, August 23rd, 2026
1 Day
4,977.66
decreased by 625.54
1 Week
4,522.80
decreased by 1,080.40
1 Month
4,961.83
decreased by 641.37
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 08:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 24, 2021 to Aug 20, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 582 trading days (~2.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3311 | 2.33** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3080 | 11.90*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6908 | 26.66*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=6
| γ1 | 4.3208 | 0.83 |
| γ2 | -11.0375 | -1.65* |
| γ3 | 11.1428 | 3.29*** |
| γ4 | -17.8181 | -3.71*** |
| γ5 | 32.8680 | 5.23*** |
| γ6 | -29.0571 | -4.38*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
582 days
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