V-Lab
Blackrock American Income Trust PLC Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026
1 Day
6,953.44
decreased by 579.86
1 Week
7,484.99
decreased by 48.31
1 Month
8,180.82
increased by 647.52
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 08:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 24, 2012 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 40 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.5524 | 5.47*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0943 | 7.70*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8885 | 59.46*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0166 | -2.92*** |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
40 days
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