Skip to main content
V-Lab

Blackrock American Income Trust PLC Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026

1 Day

6,953.44

decreased by 579.86

1 Week

7,484.99

decreased by 48.31

1 Month

8,180.82

increased by 647.52

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 08:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Blackrock American Income Trust PLC ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 24, 2012 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 40 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5524
5.47***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0943
7.70***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8885
59.46***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0166
-2.92***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

40 days