V-Lab
Blackrock American Income Trust PLC ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026
1 Day
7,705.55
1 Week
8,717.17
1 Month
10,781.88
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 08:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 24, 2012 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1676 | 0.12 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6051 | 21.93*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1676 | -0.06 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.06 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0699 | 0.14 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9301 | 10.14*** |
Persistence:
0.689
Half-life:
2 days
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