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V-Lab

Boozt Ab Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

5,644.75

increased by 465.77

1 Week

5,457.77

increased by 278.79

1 Month

6,907.99

increased by 1,729.01

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 07:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Boozt Ab ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 25, 2020 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 22 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9820
7.69***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1413
8.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8270
36.64***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.1069
-3.30***

Persistence:

0.968

Half-life:

22 days