V-Lab
Boozt Ab Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
5,644.75
increased by 465.77
1 Week
5,457.77
increased by 278.79
1 Month
6,907.99
increased by 1,729.01
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 07:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 25, 2020 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 22 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9820 | 7.69*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1413 | 8.01*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8270 | 36.64*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.1069 | -3.30*** |
Persistence:
0.968
Half-life:
22 days
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