Brookfield Infrastructure Partners LP Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, October 30th, 2026
1 Day
457.64
decreased by 2.19
1 Week
488.02
increased by 28.19
1 Month
474.70
increased by 14.87
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 10:52 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 10, 2008 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 97 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.993, shock half-life ~97 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.9820 | 2.53** |
| αARCH | 0.0881 | 10.02*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9048 | 109.29*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -0.0043 | -0.33 |
| γ2 | 0.0085 | 0.44 |
0.993
Persistence97d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9820 | 2.53** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0881 | 10.02*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9048 | 109.29*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -0.0043 | -0.33 |
| γ2 | 0.0085 | 0.44 |
Persistence:
0.993
Half-life:
97 days
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