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Bioage Labs Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

4,951.26

decreased by 647.59

1 Week

6,192.59

increased by 593.74

1 Month

5,603.29

increased by 4.44

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Bioage Labs Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 26, 2024 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 3916 trading days (~15.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~3916 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0337
4.54***
αARCH0.1632
6.54***
βGARCH0.8367
33.51***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-1.2590
-1.24

1.000

Persistence

3916d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0337
4.54***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1632
6.54***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8367
33.51***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-1.2590
-1.24

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

3916 days