V-Lab
Bioage Labs Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
4,951.26
decreased by 647.59
1 Week
6,192.59
increased by 593.74
1 Month
5,603.29
increased by 4.44
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 26, 2024 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 3916 trading days (~15.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~3916 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.0337 | 4.54*** |
| αARCH | 0.1632 | 6.54*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8367 | 33.51*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -1.2590 | -1.24 |
1.000
Persistence3916d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0337 | 4.54*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1632 | 6.54*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8367 | 33.51*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -1.2590 | -1.24 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
3916 days
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