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Best Holdings PLC Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

12,762.04

increased by 2,980.94

1 Week

7,849.84

decreased by 1,931.26

1 Month

5,614.47

decreased by 4,166.63

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 03:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Best Holdings PLC ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 6, 2024 to Sep 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 252 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~252 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.8222
1.36
αARCH0.5335
20.71***
βGARCH0.4638
19.28***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0196
-0.09

0.997

Persistence

252d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.8222
1.36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5335
20.71***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4638
19.28***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0196
-0.09

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

252 days