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Belding India Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 14th, 2026

1 Day

12,475.51

increased by 7,723.63

1 Week

5,312.36

increased by 560.48

1 Month

2,782.04

decreased by 1,969.84

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 08:18 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/13/2024

to

10/13/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Belding India Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 21, 2013 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 66 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst3.8925
3.32***
αARCH0.3137
5.36***
βGARCH0.6759
12.32***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ11.0376
0.20
γ2-2.6644
-0.36
γ32.7674
0.67
γ4-6.3717
-1.90*
γ514.9566
3.77***
γ6-45.1209
-3.13***
γ791.2923
3.09***
γ8-82.0382
-3.20***
γ924.8918
2.96***
γ100.0187
0.00

0.990

Persistence

66d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.8925
3.32***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3137
5.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6759
12.32***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ11.0376
0.20
γ2-2.6644
-0.36
γ32.7674
0.67
γ4-6.3717
-1.90*
γ514.9566
3.77***
γ6-45.1209
-3.13***
γ791.2923
3.09***
γ8-82.0382
-3.20***
γ924.8918
2.96***
γ100.0187
0.00

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

66 days