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V-Lab

Beryl 8 Plus Public Company Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

11,551.14

increased by 3,217.15

1 Week

8,203.95

decreased by 130.04

1 Month

4,857.19

decreased by 3,476.80

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Beryl 8 Plus Public Company ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 8, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 51 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7345
3.03***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2198
10.06***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7667
32.48***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.1215
1.90*

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

51 days