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Accent Group Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

16,156.70

increased by 365.83

1 Week

15,986.20

increased by 195.33

1 Month

20,316.85

increased by 4,525.98

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 05:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Accent Group Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 7, 2004 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 9 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.8758
6.17***
αARCH0.1008
6.79***
βGARCH0.8227
32.38***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.8861
-5.53***
γ21.1385
3.98***
γ3-0.6737
-1.77*
γ40.6687
1.52
γ5-0.2469
-0.80
γ60.1658
0.91
γ7-0.3027
-2.44**
γ80.2946
3.19***
γ9-0.3576
-3.94***
γ100.7024
4.58***

0.923

Persistence

9d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8758
6.17***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1008
6.79***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8227
32.38***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.8861
-5.53***
γ21.1385
3.98***
γ3-0.6737
-1.77*
γ40.6687
1.52
γ5-0.2469
-0.80
γ60.1658
0.91
γ7-0.3027
-2.44**
γ80.2946
3.19***
γ9-0.3576
-3.94***
γ100.7024
4.58***

Persistence:

0.923

Half-life:

9 days