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V-Lab

AVG Logistics Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026

1 Day

7,559.75

increased by 4,659.52

1 Week

4,471.94

increased by 1,571.71

1 Month

3,195.46

increased by 295.23

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 07:00 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of AVG Logistics Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 11, 2018 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 26 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4802
3.33***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2282
8.43***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7455
27.01***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ1-2.6802
-4.61***
γ21.9293
2.08**
γ33.3386
4.14***
γ4-4.9258
-5.47***

Persistence:

0.974

Half-life:

26 days