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V-Lab

Ames National Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Thursday, July 9th, 2026

1 Day

7,350.56

decreased by 54.22

1 Week

7,633.21

increased by 228.43

1 Month

5,652.66

decreased by 1,752.12

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 8, 2026 at 11:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ames National Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 8, 1997 to Jul 2, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 51 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.3973
6.14***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1126
9.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8740
69.43***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ10.0029
0.60
γ2-0.0079
-0.88

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

51 days