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Asarfi Hospital Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, November 5th, 2026

1 Day

7,283.40

increased by 2,519.48

1 Week

4,379.01

decreased by 384.91

1 Month

4,284.81

decreased by 479.11

Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 08:11 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/04/2024

to

11/04/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Asarfi Hospital Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 26, 2023 to Nov 2, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 12 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1983
7.74***
αARCH0.2117
4.78***
βGARCH0.7314
13.49***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.5308
-3.97***

0.943

Persistence

12d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1983
7.74***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2117
4.78***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7314
13.49***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.5308
-3.97***

Persistence:

0.943

Half-life:

12 days