Apimeds Pharmaceutica US Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026
1 Day
272,869.70
decreased by 87,260.80
1 Week
382,581.28
increased by 22,450.78
1 Month
307,653.71
decreased by 52,476.79
Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 9, 2025 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.1377 | 5.22*** |
| αARCH | 0.2715 | 4.70*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6246 | 7.51*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -1.7684 | -2.64*** |
0.896
Persistence6d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1377 | 5.22*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2715 | 4.70*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6246 | 7.51*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -1.7684 | -2.64*** |
Persistence:
0.896
Half-life:
6 days
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