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Apimeds Pharmaceutica US Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 21st, 2026

1 Day

269,008.60

decreased by 47,794.90

1 Week

225,637.82

decreased by 91,165.68

1 Month

255,141.89

decreased by 61,661.61

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 10:37 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/20/2024

to

10/20/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Apimeds Pharmaceutica US Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 9, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0659
4.93***
αARCH0.2869
4.59***
βGARCH0.6199
7.26***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-2.1079
-2.83***

0.907

Persistence

7d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0659
4.93***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2869
4.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6199
7.26***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-2.1079
-2.83***

Persistence:

0.907

Half-life:

7 days