V-Lab
Apimeds Pharmaceutica US Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026
1 Day
689,491.50
decreased by 142,732.20
1 Week
748,034.96
decreased by 84,188.74
1 Month
940,063.20
increased by 107,839.50
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 09:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 9, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4101 | 6.23*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2334 | 3.72*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6200 | 5.12*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0196 | 0.02 |
Persistence:
0.853
Half-life:
4 days
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