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Apimeds Pharmaceutica US Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

326,600.30

decreased by 24,903.40

1 Week

390,978.54

increased by 39,474.84

1 Month

612,195.81

increased by 260,692.11

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 10:05 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Apimeds Pharmaceutica US Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 9, 2025 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2951
5.99***
αARCH0.2392
3.94***
βGARCH0.6206
5.67***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.8132
-1.19

0.860

Persistence

5d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2951
5.99***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2392
3.94***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6206
5.67***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.8132
-1.19

Persistence:

0.860

Half-life:

5 days