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Apimeds Pharmaceutica US Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

841,958.90

decreased by 66,304.60

1 Week

909,158.80

increased by 895.30

1 Month

951,982.67

increased by 43,719.17

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 11:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Apimeds Pharmaceutica US Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 9, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4725
6.88***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2282
3.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5647
2.90***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ11.0787
0.84

Persistence:

0.793

Half-life:

3 days