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Saudi Fransi Cooperative Ins Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, August 2nd, 2026

1 Day

11,590.14

increased by 6,203.05

1 Week

5,343.45

decreased by 43.64

1 Month

4,850.66

decreased by 536.43

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 08:12 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Saudi Fransi Cooperative Ins ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 20, 2007 to Jul 30, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1947 trading days (~7.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2402
2.33**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2676
7.15***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7321
20.11***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.8527
0.43
γ2-2.2883
-1.05
γ32.0461
1.92*
γ4-0.0013
0.00
γ5-5.2578
-1.46
γ613.7025
1.42
γ7-17.3541
-1.46
γ813.4758
1.62
γ9-7.0027
-1.71*
γ101.7585
1.19

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1947 days