V-Lab
All E Technologies Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
11,542.58
decreased by 1,279.87
1 Week
14,202.26
increased by 1,379.81
1 Month
13,010.97
increased by 188.52
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 09:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 21, 2022 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 2.3160 | 8.34*** |
| αARCH | 0.2132 | 6.37*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6886 | 14.58*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.4188 | 7.37*** |
0.902
Persistence7d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.3160 | 8.34*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2132 | 6.37*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6886 | 14.58*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.4188 | 7.37*** |
Persistence:
0.902
Half-life:
7 days
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