V-Lab
Aker Biomarine Asa Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
3,858.67
increased by 896.77
1 Week
3,050.11
increased by 88.21
1 Month
7,634.50
increased by 4,672.60
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 07:58 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 6, 2020 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 51 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8612 | 5.38*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1364 | 7.50*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8500 | 42.92*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.1209 | -1.88* |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
51 days
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