Asian Hotels (North) Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
2,387.61
decreased by 324.98
1 Week
2,704.14
decreased by 8.45
1 Month
4,140.00
increased by 1,427.41
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 06:59 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 26, 1997 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1883 trading days (~7.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2813 | 3.66*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1915 | 9.65*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8082 | 41.15*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | 0.6074 | 1.09 |
| γ2 | -2.0192 | -2.53** |
| γ3 | 2.5436 | 4.02*** |
| γ4 | -3.5405 | -2.83*** |
| γ5 | 5.5675 | 2.20** |
| γ6 | -3.7649 | -1.50 |
| γ7 | 1.0554 | 0.53 |
| γ8 | -2.5956 | -2.44** |
| γ9 | 4.3463 | 3.88*** |
| γ10 | -3.8676 | -3.70*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1883 days
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