V-Lab
Asian Hotels (North) Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
2,033.44
decreased by 359.61
1 Week
2,361.82
decreased by 31.23
1 Month
3,471.78
increased by 1,078.73
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 01:49 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 26, 1997 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1353 trading days (~5.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4079 | 3.71*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1917 | 9.62*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8078 | 41.19*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | 0.6834 | 1.41 |
| γ2 | -2.1106 | -2.92*** |
| γ3 | 2.5713 | 4.11*** |
| γ4 | -3.5667 | -2.87*** |
| γ5 | 5.5910 | 2.22** |
| γ6 | -3.7746 | -1.50 |
| γ7 | 1.0540 | 0.53 |
| γ8 | -2.5958 | -2.44** |
| γ9 | 4.3521 | 3.89*** |
| γ10 | -3.8839 | -3.73*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
1353 days
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