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Agenus Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 2nd, 2026

1 Day

6,658.14

increased by 658.04

1 Week

6,656.96

increased by 656.86

1 Month

5,782.29

decreased by 217.81

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 02:16 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Agenus Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 4, 2000 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 12602 trading days (~50.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9376
7.56***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1656
22.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8343
111.77***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.0468
-5.02***
γ20.0736
5.19***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

12602 days