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Aedas Homes Sau Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

211,824.00

decreased by 4,993.60

1 Week

251,535.36

increased by 34,717.76

1 Month

144,235.56

decreased by 72,582.04

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 08:35 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Aedas Homes Sau ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 20, 2017 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 149 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.995, shock half-life ~149 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1576
5.21***
αARCH0.1242
6.24***
βGARCH0.8712
41.13***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0588
-2.09**

0.995

Persistence

149d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1576
5.21***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1242
6.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8712
41.13***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0588
-2.09**

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

149 days