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V-Lab

Alliances Developpement Immobilier SA Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

6,614.45

decreased by 181.53

1 Week

6,835.42

increased by 39.44

1 Month

9,035.40

increased by 2,239.42

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 07:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Alliances Developpement Immobilier SA ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 18, 2008 to Aug 19, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 17 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7889
2.03**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1857
7.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7734
36.73***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ10.1124
0.40
γ20.0866
0.20
γ3-0.2314
-0.50
γ4-0.4959
-0.98
γ51.4841
4.06***
γ6-1.8575
-7.49***
γ71.0882
4.46***
γ8-0.5088
-1.92*
γ91.6595
4.71***

Persistence:

0.959

Half-life:

17 days