V-Lab
Adc India Communications Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026
1 Day
6,119.01
increased by 29.54
1 Week
5,729.57
decreased by 359.90
1 Month
8,170.25
increased by 2,080.78
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 06:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 29, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 77016 trading days (~305.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8476 | 0.09 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1199 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8801 | 0.02 |
Spline Coefficients
K=6
| γ1 | -0.5870 | 0.00 |
| γ2 | 2.0459 | 0.01 |
| γ3 | -2.6139 | -0.01 |
| γ4 | 1.7285 | 0.01 |
| γ5 | -1.3839 | -0.03 |
| γ6 | 1.6656 | 0.01 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
77016 days
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