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ACCO Brands Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

5,772.31

decreased by 171.72

1 Week

5,306.32

decreased by 637.71

1 Month

5,502.52

decreased by 441.51

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:49 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ACCO Brands Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 12, 2005 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 37 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.8281
2.23**
αARCH0.1751
9.23***
βGARCH0.8062
75.88***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0017
0.55

0.981

Persistence

37d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8281
2.23**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1751
9.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8062
75.88***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0017
0.55

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

37 days