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American Battery Tech Comp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

6,382.75

decreased by 1,073.84

1 Week

6,919.78

decreased by 536.81

1 Month

6,917.13

decreased by 539.46

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 09:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of American Battery Tech Comp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 23, 2016 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 13078 trading days (~51.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4042
0.46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3224
0.37
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6775
0.77
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.5825
-0.02
γ2-4.5959
-0.14
γ39.5035
0.79
γ4-9.0954
-1.20
γ59.4059
1.48
γ6-6.9620
-1.38
γ77.3503
1.47
γ8-7.1847
-1.02
γ9-4.0873
-0.51
γ1015.1328
1.76*

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

13078 days