Shenzhen Woer Heat-Shrinkable Material Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, October 9th, 2026
1 Day
5,122.90
decreased by 4,435.13
1 Week
5,787.27
decreased by 3,770.76
1 Month
4,739.88
decreased by 4,818.15
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 9, 2026 at 09:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 13, 2026 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.2782 | 9.81*** |
| αARCH | 0.0741 | 0.93 |
| βGARCH | 0.0857 | 0.15 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -2.0417 | -0.74 |
0.160
Persistence0d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2782 | 9.81*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0741 | 0.93 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0857 | 0.15 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -2.0417 | -0.74 |
Persistence:
0.160
Half-life:
0 days
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