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V-Lab

SEM Holdings Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026

1 Day

5,678.81

decreased by 17.54

1 Week

5,650.75

decreased by 45.60

1 Month

5,750.41

increased by 54.06

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of SEM Holdings Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 14, 2020 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 8 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2394
2.78***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0990
3.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8132
14.13***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ13.4188
1.33
γ2-5.5259
-1.46
γ33.4626
1.47
γ4-3.3751
-1.24
γ53.6089
1.17
γ6-9.3453
-2.89***
γ716.3014
5.29***

Persistence:

0.912

Half-life:

8 days