Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Eurasia Travel Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

8,811.58

increased by 5,271.99

1 Week

4,080.10

increased by 540.51

1 Month

2,949.78

decreased by 589.81

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 07:47 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Eurasia Travel Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 10, 2001 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 14 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.6219
4.88***
αARCH0.1605
10.12***
βGARCH0.7924
40.84***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.2815
-1.84*
γ21.1365
4.71***
γ3-1.3235
-7.03***
γ40.3829
2.19**
γ50.0896
0.47
γ60.1592
0.67
γ7-0.5447
-2.45**
γ81.0020
6.35***
γ9-1.2241
-8.21***
γ100.9828
3.79***

0.953

Persistence

14d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.6219
4.88***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1605
10.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7924
40.84***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.2815
-1.84*
γ21.1365
4.71***
γ3-1.3235
-7.03***
γ40.3829
2.19**
γ50.0896
0.47
γ60.1592
0.67
γ7-0.5447
-2.45**
γ81.0020
6.35***
γ9-1.2241
-8.21***
γ100.9828
3.79***

Persistence:

0.953

Half-life:

14 days