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Suzuyo Shinwart Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

7,207.13

increased by 3,517.71

1 Week

4,495.29

increased by 805.87

1 Month

3,236.81

decreased by 452.61

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 08:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Suzuyo Shinwart Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 3, 1992 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 3348 trading days (~13.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0585
4.25***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1295
17.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8703
114.45***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ1-0.3085
-3.77***
γ20.4619
4.32***
γ3-0.2887
-6.11***
γ40.2918
5.67***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

3348 days