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V-Lab

King Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

8,188.73

decreased by 194.53

1 Week

8,282.95

decreased by 100.31

1 Month

6,453.95

decreased by 1,929.31

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of King Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 12, 1996 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 28 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5763
6.25***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1206
12.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8552
71.63***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-0.1737
-5.65***
γ20.3209
6.71***
γ3-0.2879
-8.34***
γ40.2354
7.28***
γ5-0.1147
-3.91***
γ60.0876
2.12**

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

28 days