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King Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

6,794.88

increased by 3.68

1 Week

6,806.96

increased by 15.76

1 Month

5,629.23

decreased by 1,161.97

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of King Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 12, 1996 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 36% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
4.22***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0708
23.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9163
684.86***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0258
4.66***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

693147 days