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Chip Hope Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026

1 Day

9,623.09

increased by 6,199.25

1 Week

3,987.06

increased by 563.22

1 Month

1,610.39

decreased by 1,813.45

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 08:52 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/05/2024

to

10/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Chip Hope Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 12, 2006 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2373 trading days (~9.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~2373 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2680
3.72***
αARCH0.1899
14.72***
βGARCH0.8098
62.53***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0554
-6.31***

1.000

Persistence

2373d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2680
3.72***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1899
14.72***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8098
62.53***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0554
-6.31***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

2373 days