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7Road Holdings Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

7,895.06

increased by 6,763.10

1 Week

2,234.38

increased by 1,102.42

1 Month

1,720.84

increased by 588.88

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 11:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of 7Road Holdings Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 18, 2018 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 86643 trading days (~343.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3491
0.01
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3326
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6674
0.00
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ122.8167
0.00
γ2-60.0759
0.00
γ356.3110
0.14
γ4-25.2647
-0.02
γ519.0379
0.01
γ6-28.6790
-0.02
γ728.3230
0.03
γ8-24.9568
-0.13
γ926.2080
0.02
γ10-68.6835
-0.05

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

86643 days