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V-Lab

Fujicopian Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 13th, 2026

1 Day

6,132.99

increased by 2,640.84

1 Week

4,114.82

increased by 622.67

1 Month

3,158.18

decreased by 333.97

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 07:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Fujicopian Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 30, 1993 to Aug 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 22 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4507
3.46***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1160
10.35***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8528
61.22***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ10.1805
2.43**
γ2-0.5086
-4.96***
γ30.6367
12.53***
γ4-0.5094
-11.11***
γ50.2506
4.96***
γ60.0183
0.36
γ7-0.2654
-4.09***

Persistence:

0.969

Half-life:

22 days